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Cake day: May 11th, 2025

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  • yet the launch business failed to make a profit in Q3 2026.

    Which tells us that the costs are a bit higher than $20 million.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Falcon_9_and_Falcon_Heavy_launches

    There were about 120 launches and 2/3 for Starlink.

    If the launches sell for $76 million, almost $80m, then 40 of these launches and 80 times $20 million paid for everything to almost break even.

    40 times $80m plus 80 times $20 are $3.2b plus $1.6b = 4.8b. That’s $40m per launch.

    So you are right, the costs for Ariane 6 launches are not prohibitively more expensive to create a military project. But it can’t become commercially successful, so Europe will bleed money.

    Europe does not need a 10000 satellite network

    How many are needed? And what happens if Russia starts to shoot them down? Do we have the capacity to replace them?

    The main aim is not power projection to the other side of the world

    Yet that’s where the satellites should also fly if they circle the world.

    but defense and services in Europe.

    If Europe fights Russia, why would there be trench warfare like in Ukraine? Wouldn’t Europe have air superiority while Russia has the space technology to fill the sky over the front with shrapnel?






  • There’s no eminent conflict with Russia because Putin is pulling the strings with Trump

    Do you think that Biden or Harris would have started a direct war with Russia?

    China is a whole other problem

    It is related. As long as China can rely on Russia, the US cannot isolate China with a naval blockade.

    certainly not one Trump has a grip on or even a strategy for.

    Trump is the strategy.

    China grows faster than the US. They just have to wait to dominate the world. Which forces the US to interrupt them. Could they do it as a Democracy?